Race 4B

owen-mosbacher-knapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Henry Burnes 8.6% 7.2% 8.5% 9.0% 7.2% 8.3% 8.6% 6.9% 7.1% 6.6% 6.9% 6.3% 3.0% 3.8% 2.0%
Sam Morrell 9.7% 10.4% 10.5% 9.0% 9.7% 7.8% 8.7% 6.9% 6.2% 7.0% 4.9% 3.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.3%
Nicolas Hernandez 10.1% 11.2% 9.3% 10.4% 7.8% 9.2% 8.2% 8.3% 7.3% 5.1% 6.0% 3.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Gage Schoenherr 10.7% 9.3% 9.9% 9.5% 9.5% 7.8% 7.8% 8.0% 7.7% 5.4% 5.3% 3.4% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6%
Alden Grimes 8.5% 8.8% 8.2% 6.9% 8.6% 8.7% 7.8% 8.0% 8.8% 7.4% 5.6% 4.8% 3.8% 3.0% 1.1%
Daisy Holthus 5.2% 5.5% 5.4% 5.8% 5.6% 6.8% 7.0% 7.0% 8.7% 10.9% 7.5% 8.1% 8.2% 5.2% 3.1%
Quinn Andersen 7.7% 6.0% 6.8% 7.7% 6.6% 7.4% 8.4% 8.5% 7.7% 6.9% 8.6% 5.3% 6.1% 4.5% 1.8%
Joseph LaForgia 10.9% 9.8% 10.7% 8.4% 9.8% 8.1% 7.3% 7.8% 6.9% 6.8% 5.5% 4.0% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6%
Connor Bayless 11.3% 11.7% 10.5% 10.9% 10.9% 8.1% 7.6% 7.9% 6.5% 5.8% 3.9% 2.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.3%
Austen Freda 3.4% 2.6% 3.8% 3.2% 3.6% 5.4% 4.8% 5.1% 6.6% 6.9% 7.8% 10.7% 12.5% 12.9% 10.7%
Sam Johnsen 2.7% 4.7% 3.7% 5.2% 4.6% 5.0% 4.6% 5.9% 6.6% 7.0% 7.8% 9.4% 11.7% 10.0% 11.1%
John Wilcenski 1.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 3.2% 2.5% 3.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.8% 7.5% 19.0% 36.5%
Riley Read 3.3% 3.9% 4.1% 4.5% 4.4% 4.8% 6.1% 5.2% 5.2% 6.7% 9.3% 11.4% 11.3% 10.9% 8.9%
Devin Keister 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 2.8% 5.1% 5.0% 5.6% 4.3% 6.0% 6.0% 9.2% 13.3% 14.5% 17.2%
Gerard Eastman 4.2% 5.2% 4.2% 4.7% 7.4% 5.1% 4.9% 6.4% 7.4% 6.5% 8.9% 10.6% 9.1% 9.7% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.