Race 7B

owen-mosbacher-knapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Henry Burnes 9.1% 8.7% 9.3% 7.5% 9.5% 7.9% 7.9% 7.6% 6.6% 7.4% 5.6% 5.8% 3.0% 2.9% 1.2%
Riley Read 3.9% 5.2% 5.1% 4.5% 5.7% 6.0% 7.2% 6.6% 6.8% 7.6% 9.3% 7.2% 9.4% 10.1% 5.4%
Tanner Probst 3.4% 3.4% 3.8% 4.2% 3.1% 5.0% 5.7% 4.0% 7.6% 7.4% 7.9% 9.8% 11.2% 14.5% 9.0%
Austen Freda 3.6% 2.7% 4.4% 3.7% 5.7% 5.5% 5.1% 5.5% 6.3% 8.3% 7.5% 9.2% 11.4% 12.7% 8.4%
Connor Bayless 13.1% 12.6% 9.5% 10.1% 8.4% 10.1% 9.9% 6.6% 5.5% 5.2% 3.5% 2.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Gage Schoenherr 11.4% 9.7% 10.5% 10.3% 9.2% 10.1% 7.7% 7.2% 7.8% 5.5% 4.0% 2.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4%
Sam Morrell 12.0% 9.8% 10.3% 9.9% 8.7% 8.5% 7.4% 7.5% 7.7% 4.4% 6.0% 2.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
Sam Johnsen 4.1% 3.9% 4.3% 3.5% 6.4% 5.0% 5.7% 6.3% 6.6% 6.6% 8.4% 10.4% 11.8% 10.2% 6.8%
Daisy Holthus 5.6% 5.0% 6.7% 7.2% 7.1% 7.4% 8.0% 8.5% 7.8% 8.0% 9.2% 8.1% 5.8% 3.8% 1.8%
Alden Grimes 7.9% 10.2% 8.6% 9.4% 8.8% 7.8% 8.5% 8.8% 7.4% 6.1% 5.9% 5.1% 3.2% 2.0% 0.3%
Nicolas Hernandez 11.2% 12.5% 10.8% 10.1% 8.2% 7.1% 6.4% 8.5% 7.7% 5.2% 4.5% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.7%
Quinn Andersen 6.5% 5.7% 7.7% 7.8% 8.4% 7.8% 7.4% 7.4% 7.5% 7.9% 8.0% 7.5% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1%
Alexander Ellis 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 4.8% 3.0% 5.9% 8.8% 15.9% 45.2%
Gerard Eastman 4.5% 5.5% 4.7% 6.7% 5.2% 5.6% 6.4% 8.0% 6.9% 8.6% 9.8% 8.7% 7.1% 7.5% 4.8%
Devin Keister 2.9% 4.1% 3.0% 3.1% 3.6% 4.0% 4.6% 5.5% 4.8% 7.0% 7.4% 10.3% 12.2% 13.3% 14.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.