Race 9B

owen-mosbacher-knapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Gerard Eastman 5.6% 5.3% 5.5% 5.6% 6.6% 6.0% 6.5% 6.5% 7.6% 7.5% 7.8% 8.2% 8.2% 9.0% 4.1%
Henry Burnes 7.6% 9.5% 9.4% 10.7% 7.3% 8.8% 7.6% 8.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.2% 5.3% 3.0% 2.6% 0.0%
Nicolas Hernandez 11.2% 11.5% 11.1% 9.6% 10.1% 8.3% 8.7% 6.8% 7.0% 5.8% 3.4% 3.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Sam Johnsen 3.6% 4.1% 3.9% 4.5% 6.4% 5.5% 6.1% 5.6% 7.3% 6.3% 10.3% 9.2% 10.5% 10.9% 5.8%
Gage Schoenherr 11.0% 10.8% 10.1% 9.3% 8.8% 10.0% 8.1% 8.3% 6.8% 5.1% 4.0% 4.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Daisy Holthus 5.7% 6.3% 6.3% 6.1% 6.4% 7.3% 7.6% 8.3% 9.1% 8.9% 7.4% 7.2% 7.0% 4.2% 2.2%
Sam Morrell 11.9% 9.3% 10.5% 9.5% 10.2% 10.1% 7.8% 7.9% 4.5% 6.2% 4.8% 3.4% 1.9% 1.5% 0.5%
Alden Grimes 10.9% 9.0% 9.6% 8.0% 8.3% 8.9% 7.9% 6.7% 8.2% 7.7% 5.7% 3.9% 3.2% 1.2% 0.8%
Tanner Probst 3.0% 2.5% 4.2% 3.7% 3.1% 4.5% 6.2% 5.4% 6.8% 8.4% 11.2% 8.7% 11.3% 11.1% 9.9%
Quinn Andersen 5.8% 9.0% 6.6% 7.9% 8.1% 8.0% 7.7% 9.0% 7.8% 8.1% 6.8% 5.3% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4%
Austen Freda 3.5% 3.4% 4.1% 4.6% 5.2% 4.0% 5.2% 7.2% 6.2% 7.3% 8.7% 9.9% 10.2% 11.3% 9.2%
Devin Keister 2.6% 1.7% 2.1% 2.9% 4.1% 4.6% 4.2% 5.8% 5.9% 6.5% 6.9% 11.8% 12.5% 15.6% 12.8%
Alexander Ellis 0.8% 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 3.4% 3.1% 4.5% 7.1% 8.2% 15.8% 44.4%
Connor Bayless 13.3% 12.4% 11.8% 11.7% 7.9% 8.4% 9.4% 6.3% 6.0% 4.6% 4.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Henry Stames 3.5% 4.3% 3.0% 4.2% 5.1% 3.9% 5.3% 5.7% 6.4% 7.5% 8.3% 9.6% 12.9% 11.4% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.