Race 11B

owen-mosbacher-knapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Connor Bayless 12.2% 13.5% 9.5% 11.6% 9.3% 8.8% 7.3% 6.1% 6.6% 4.9% 4.5% 2.3% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Nicolas Hernandez 9.9% 13.1% 10.8% 8.9% 9.5% 9.3% 7.8% 8.1% 5.6% 5.5% 4.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
Henry Burnes 8.0% 7.8% 7.7% 8.8% 8.9% 8.5% 6.8% 8.4% 8.8% 7.9% 7.0% 5.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.4%
Sam Morrell 10.3% 9.4% 9.9% 9.9% 9.1% 7.5% 9.1% 6.9% 7.2% 6.2% 5.7% 3.8% 3.2% 1.5% 0.3%
Alden Grimes 9.3% 8.1% 9.1% 7.6% 8.3% 8.8% 8.2% 8.2% 8.5% 7.2% 4.8% 4.3% 4.8% 2.5% 0.3%
Gage Schoenherr 9.9% 10.8% 7.7% 9.8% 11.6% 8.5% 10.1% 7.2% 7.3% 5.0% 4.9% 4.4% 1.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Devin Keister 3.3% 3.0% 2.9% 2.6% 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 5.3% 5.9% 7.0% 7.9% 9.7% 12.8% 14.5% 13.3%
Quinn Andersen 7.8% 5.5% 8.3% 8.6% 6.1% 8.2% 7.2% 7.7% 8.1% 8.7% 7.2% 8.0% 4.5% 2.7% 1.4%
Joseph LaForgia 10.0% 10.1% 10.9% 10.5% 10.2% 8.0% 8.5% 7.4% 7.6% 5.8% 4.2% 3.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.4%
Thomas Cooper 2.5% 2.0% 2.8% 2.4% 2.1% 4.1% 4.7% 5.3% 5.5% 6.4% 7.7% 10.5% 12.7% 15.5% 15.8%
Gerard Eastman 4.1% 4.9% 5.1% 4.9% 4.9% 6.3% 8.0% 6.7% 6.3% 8.5% 8.1% 9.4% 9.8% 8.6% 4.4%
Daisy Holthus 5.1% 3.4% 6.7% 6.6% 6.8% 5.9% 7.6% 7.4% 7.5% 9.3% 10.5% 7.8% 7.4% 6.0% 2.0%
Henry Stames 2.8% 3.7% 3.6% 3.7% 3.6% 3.5% 4.1% 6.3% 6.3% 6.7% 9.7% 9.9% 12.3% 14.1% 9.7%
Alexander Ellis 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 2.4% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 4.0% 5.7% 6.5% 9.4% 16.0% 42.6%
Austen Freda 3.6% 3.6% 4.0% 2.6% 4.4% 6.2% 4.8% 6.5% 5.9% 6.9% 7.4% 10.8% 12.0% 12.9% 8.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.