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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.77+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.94+1.08vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.58+0.76vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.78+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.58-1.34vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.29+0.18vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.32+0.42vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago0.49-2.20vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-0.65-1.07vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-1.08-1.44vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.08-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of Minnesota1.770.2%1st Place
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3.08University of Wisconsin1.940.2%1st Place
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3.76Northwestern University1.580.2%1st Place
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5.28Ohio State University0.780.1%1st Place
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3.66University of Michigan1.580.2%1st Place
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6.18Northwestern University0.290.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Wisconsin-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.8University of Chicago0.490.1%1st Place
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7.93Michigan Technological University-0.650.0%1st Place
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8.56Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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8.56Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Sinn | 22.1% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Cummins | 23.5% | 22.4% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Gullquist | 16.1% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Berk | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Dubois | 15.9% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hughes | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Kunze | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 22.4% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Jenny Robinson | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 26.4% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 46.9% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 46.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.