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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sam Riley 8.5% 8.6% 9.6% 10.9% 13.5% 13.6% 14.4% 14.8% 6.3%
Kyle Reinecke 27.8% 23.8% 18.4% 12.2% 8.8% 5.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Tanner Kelly 16.3% 15.8% 15.7% 14.8% 13.2% 10.8% 8.1% 4.2% 1.1%
Joshua Bendura 5.7% 7.8% 9.9% 11.2% 11.9% 15.2% 15.2% 16.7% 6.4%
Nathan Jensen 17.2% 18.2% 16.1% 15.3% 12.1% 10.1% 6.8% 3.6% 0.7%
Margaux Cowles 7.8% 8.5% 8.6% 10.7% 12.4% 14.0% 16.2% 17.3% 4.5%
Lizzie Cochran 5.6% 6.8% 7.8% 9.0% 10.3% 12.6% 17.2% 20.6% 10.0%
Tyler Brown 10.0% 9.3% 11.8% 13.1% 14.9% 13.9% 13.1% 10.6% 3.3%
Thomas Belcastro 1.1% 1.3% 2.1% 2.8% 2.8% 4.1% 6.7% 11.6% 67.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.