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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.86+4.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.16+0.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.78+0.86vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.73+1.44vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-1.34vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania0.81-0.68vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.71-1.19vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.58-3.19vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.91-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Old Dominion University0.868.5%1st Place
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2.81U. S. Naval Academy2.1627.8%1st Place
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3.86U. S. Naval Academy1.7816.3%1st Place
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5.44Christopher Newport University0.735.7%1st Place
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3.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6817.2%1st Place
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5.32University of Pennsylvania0.817.8%1st Place
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5.81Fordham University0.715.6%1st Place
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4.81Hampton University0.5810.0%1st Place
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8.07George Washington University-0.911.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Sam Riley | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 6.3% |
Kyle Reinecke | 27.8% | 23.8% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Tanner Kelly | 16.3% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
Joshua Bendura | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 6.4% |
Nathan Jensen | 17.2% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
Margaux Cowles | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 4.5% |
Lizzie Cochran | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 10.0% |
Tyler Brown | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 3.3% |
Thomas Belcastro | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 67.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.