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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+6.68vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.58+4.30vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.24+4.48vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+2.18vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+4.04vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-1.98vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.41-0.01vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+4.01vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.55+0.98vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.02-4.89vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36-3.79vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.52-1.71vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.50-2.69vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.97-5.53vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.82-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.48Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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6.18Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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4.02Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.99Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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12.01Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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9.98Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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5.11Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.31Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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8.95Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Farrell | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Claire Havig | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 18.7% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Megan Ploch | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 35.3% |
| Carina Becker | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% |
| Sophie Hibben | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 13.2% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.