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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+3.92vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.79+5.18vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.15+3.08vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+3.34vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.28+4.23vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.82+1.31vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.30-1.38vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.12+1.76vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86-1.93vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.10-0.12vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-1.80vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.77-4.34vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.75-5.17vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.26-4.79vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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7.18Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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7.34Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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7.31Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.62Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.76Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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9.88Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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7.66Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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11.71Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Wilmot | 15.4% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Leyla Senocak | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Allison Cahn | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Foster | 12.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emery Wallace | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.3% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.5% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% |
| Hana Zwick | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Kelsey Slack | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Olivia Keefe | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% |
| Maggie Royal | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 15.4% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.