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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.94+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.77+1.36vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.58+0.78vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.58-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.32+2.28vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.78-0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago0.49-1.15vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.08+0.52vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.29-2.76vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-0.65-2.04vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.08-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05University of Wisconsin1.940.3%1st Place
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3.36University of Minnesota1.770.2%1st Place
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3.78Northwestern University1.580.2%1st Place
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3.7University of Michigan1.580.2%1st Place
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7.28University of Wisconsin-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.26Ohio State University0.780.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Chicago0.490.0%1st Place
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8.52Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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6.24Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
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7.96Michigan Technological University-0.650.0%1st Place
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8.52Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Cummins | 26.1% | 21.3% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Sinn | 19.7% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Gullquist | 16.9% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Dubois | 15.9% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Kunze | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 23.8% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Berk | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 20.6% | 45.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hughes | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Jenny Robinson | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 27.0% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Mooney | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 20.6% | 45.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.