← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University0.58+3.82vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.16+0.84vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania0.81+2.34vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University0.73+1.31vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University0.86+0.33vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy1.78-2.13vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-3.27vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University-0.91-0.03vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University0.71-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.82Hampton University0.5810.3%1st Place
-
2.84U. S. Naval Academy2.1627.8%1st Place
-
5.34University of Pennsylvania0.816.7%1st Place
-
5.31Christopher Newport University0.738.3%1st Place
-
5.33Old Dominion University0.866.3%1st Place
-
3.87U. S. Naval Academy1.7815.1%1st Place
-
3.73St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6817.4%1st Place
-
7.97George Washington University-0.911.8%1st Place
-
5.78Fordham University0.716.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 3.6% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 27.8% | 23.6% | 17.8% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Margaux Cowles | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 6.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 5.7% |
| Sam Riley | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 6.2% |
| Tanner Kelly | 15.1% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 17.4% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Belcastro | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 65.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.