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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.77+6.37vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.82+5.07vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.26+6.19vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.15+2.12vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.12+4.76vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.30-0.40vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.79+0.33vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50-2.97vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.10+0.79vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.75-2.39vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-3.64vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.28-2.49vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-5.61vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-2.20vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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7.07Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.76Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
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5.6Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.03Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.79Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.61Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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7.36Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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11.8Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hana Zwick | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Keefe | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 7.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Emery Wallace | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% |
| Rachel Foster | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Leyla Senocak | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 14.2% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Allison Cahn | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Maggie Royal | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 35.3% |
| Meredith Julian | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.