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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+3.94vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.75+5.36vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.28+6.13vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.30+1.60vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.82+2.37vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+1.38vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.77+0.41vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.79-0.59vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86-1.96vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15-3.76vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.45+0.84vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.12-2.01vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.10-2.98vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.26-4.78vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.36Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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5.6Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.37Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.41Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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11.84Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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9.99Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
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10.02Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Wilmot | 14.1% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Slack | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Allison Cahn | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Hana Zwick | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Leyla Senocak | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Maggie Royal | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 36.2% |
| Emery Wallace | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% |
| Olivia Keefe | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% |
| Meredith Julian | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.