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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+4.54vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.82+5.09vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.28+6.11vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79+3.31vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.15+1.25vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+1.43vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.77+0.36vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.10+1.78vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.12+0.72vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.75-2.36vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.45+0.82vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-4.59vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.26-3.47vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-4.96vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-10.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.09Northeastern University1.820.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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7.31Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.36Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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9.78Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.72Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
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7.64Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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11.82Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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4.97Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% |
| Leyla Senocak | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Allison Cahn | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Lucie Ford | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% |
| Emery Wallace | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Maggie Royal | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 37.3% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% |
| Meredith Julian | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 6.7% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 14.9% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.