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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.86+4.29vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+1.71vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.73+2.44vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.58+0.99vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.71+0.80vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.16-3.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.78-3.01vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.04-3.14vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.91-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Old Dominion University0.867.3%1st Place
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3.71St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6818.1%1st Place
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5.44Christopher Newport University0.736.8%1st Place
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4.99Hampton University0.589.6%1st Place
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5.8Fordham University0.715.8%1st Place
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2.85U. S. Naval Academy2.1627.7%1st Place
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3.99U. S. Naval Academy1.7814.6%1st Place
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4.86University of Pennsylvania1.049.1%1st Place
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8.07George Washington University-0.911.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Sam Riley | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 5.6% |
Nathan Jensen | 18.1% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
Joshua Bendura | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 6.5% |
Tyler Brown | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.5% |
Lizzie Cochran | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 21.3% | 11.3% |
Kyle Reinecke | 27.7% | 23.5% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Tanner Kelly | 14.6% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
Ian Fox | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 3.4% |
Thomas Belcastro | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.