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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+6.00vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+3.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+6.19vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.72vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.60+2.36vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.56+1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.05+6.38vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.72+2.84vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-0.67vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.71+1.24vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+1.23vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93-1.54vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.48-5.25vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.24-5.44vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.16-5.89vs Predicted
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16Marquette University1.11-0.06vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.96-6.91vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.91-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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5.16Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.36Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.55Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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13.38University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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10.84George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.33Boston College3.350.0%1st Place
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11.24Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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12.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.75Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.11Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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15.94Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
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10.09Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.05Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.0% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Romain Screve | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Colin Richards | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 16.2% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.1% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Walter Florio | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 7.8% |
| Luke Ingalls | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 55.3% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Josh Dochoda | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.