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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.16+1.84vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.86+3.34vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+0.75vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.71+1.87vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.58-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.04-1.03vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.73-1.63vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.78-4.07vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.91-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84U. S. Naval Academy2.1628.4%1st Place
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5.34Old Dominion University0.866.8%1st Place
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3.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6817.2%1st Place
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5.87Fordham University0.716.1%1st Place
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4.83Hampton University0.589.4%1st Place
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4.97University of Pennsylvania1.048.7%1st Place
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5.37Christopher Newport University0.737.3%1st Place
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3.93U. S. Naval Academy1.7814.7%1st Place
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8.08George Washington University-0.911.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 28.4% | 22.8% | 18.3% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Riley | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 5.9% |
| Nathan Jensen | 17.2% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 22.8% | 11.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 3.3% |
| Ian Fox | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 3.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 6.6% |
| Tanner Kelly | 14.7% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Belcastro | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 67.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.