← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.56+6.76vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University3.77+4.88vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.24+2.18vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.93+5.91vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.75vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.35+2.40vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.60+0.41vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.48-0.23vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.71+2.00vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.24-0.87vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University3.16-1.68vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University2.72-0.68vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-0.96vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.91-4.15vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.02vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont2.05-2.47vs Predicted
-
17Marquette University1.11-1.00vs Predicted
-
18Dartmouth College2.96-8.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.76Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
-
6.88Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
5.18Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
9.91University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
8.4Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
7.41Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
7.77Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
11.0Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
-
9.13Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
9.32Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
11.32George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
-
12.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
-
9.85Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
-
8.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
13.53University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
-
16.0Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
-
9.75Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.7% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Walter Florio | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 4.6% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 7.5% |
| Josh Dochoda | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Mack Fox | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Colin Richards | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 15.8% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 56.2% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.