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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+7.67vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+8.48vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+2.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.04vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+2.87vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60+1.50vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.96+3.09vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-1.22vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.21-0.04vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.16-0.41vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.72+0.16vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.56-4.02vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.77-6.29vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.91-3.95vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.05-1.53vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-3.60vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.24-7.88vs Predicted
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18Marquette University1.11-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.48University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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5.29Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.87Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.09Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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6.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.96Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.59Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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11.16George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.98Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.71Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.05Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
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13.47University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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12.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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15.86Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Luke Ingalls | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% |
| Romain Screve | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Colin Richards | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 16.2% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 9.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 14.8% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.