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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.09+8.05vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.59+4.91vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.49+8.62vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.20+4.24vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.23+3.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.82+3.97vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20+1.41vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-0.41vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.84+0.95vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81+0.28vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-2.43vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.70-1.19vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.71-2.78vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.09-5.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-4.59vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-5.56vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.93-11.32vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.84-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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6.91Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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11.62George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.24Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.41Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.95Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.28Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.81University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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10.22Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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10.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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5.68Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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16.13Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Greenhouse | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 6.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Conner Harding | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Long | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Shane Riera | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Michael Munger | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 3.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 10.8% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.