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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.88+0.97vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.97+1.35vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-0.15+0.92vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.02+0.84vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.22+0.22vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.91+0.37vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.62-0.95vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.30-2.89vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.87-0.10vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97University of Michigan1.8847.0%1st Place
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3.35Michigan Technological University0.9715.7%1st Place
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3.92Northern Michigan University-0.1511.9%1st Place
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4.84Michigan State University0.026.8%1st Place
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5.22Unknown School-0.225.3%1st Place
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6.37Grand Valley State University-0.913.5%1st Place
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6.05Unknown School-0.623.0%1st Place
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5.11Michigan Technological University-0.305.9%1st Place
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8.9University of Toledo-2.870.4%1st Place
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9.28Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lorenzo Puertas | 47.0% | 27.0% | 14.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Lucas Rodenroth | 15.7% | 21.0% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Marco Constantini | 11.9% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Ella Beck | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
Casey Dietsch | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
Reed Rossell | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 27.9% | 12.1% | 1.2% |
Josh Hacker | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 23.1% | 7.4% | 0.7% |
Alex Cross | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
Cooper Avery | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 44.9% | 37.0% |
Piper Luke | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 27.5% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.