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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lorenzo Puertas 47.0% 27.0% 14.7% 6.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Rodenroth 15.7% 21.0% 21.1% 16.9% 12.8% 7.2% 3.7% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Marco Constantini 11.9% 14.8% 17.8% 16.6% 16.2% 12.8% 6.3% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Ella Beck 6.8% 10.1% 11.9% 14.8% 15.4% 15.4% 15.2% 8.1% 2.1% 0.1%
Casey Dietsch 5.3% 7.8% 10.1% 14.1% 13.8% 15.9% 16.9% 12.8% 2.9% 0.4%
Reed Rossell 3.5% 4.2% 5.6% 7.8% 9.7% 11.2% 16.7% 27.9% 12.1% 1.2%
Josh Hacker 3.0% 4.4% 7.1% 9.3% 11.8% 14.8% 18.4% 23.1% 7.4% 0.7%
Alex Cross 5.9% 9.4% 10.5% 11.7% 14.6% 17.4% 16.1% 11.5% 2.5% 0.3%
Cooper Avery 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 2.7% 3.7% 7.3% 44.9% 37.0%
Piper Luke 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 2.5% 4.9% 27.5% 60.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.