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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.09+8.02vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.86vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.23+5.54vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.09+4.72vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.71+5.34vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20+2.45vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.82+2.94vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.49+3.24vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-3.58vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.59-2.94vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-0.38vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.70-1.15vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.81-3.21vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.20-5.84vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.20-6.68vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.84-5.99vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-6.49vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.84-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.02University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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10.34Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.94Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.24George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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5.42Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.06Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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9.79Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.32Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.01Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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16.15Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Northrup | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Trevor Long | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Conner Harding | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 5.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.0% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Shane Riera | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 3.8% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Michael Munger | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 3.4% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 10.6% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.