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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.20+7.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+8.70vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+6.09vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.09+4.69vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.81+4.90vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.59+0.84vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.49+4.34vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.23+0.17vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.70+1.51vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.93-4.29vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-2.46vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.84-1.74vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-2.78vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.20-5.89vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-7.42vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.82-5.94vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.71-6.48vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.84-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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8.69Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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9.9Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.84Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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11.34George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.17Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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5.71Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.54Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.26Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.06Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.52Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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16.15Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Shane Riera | 3.0% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 2.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 6.3% |
| Conner Harding | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 2.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Michael Munger | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Trevor Long | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 10.3% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.