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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.77vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.20+6.63vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.81+7.26vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.57vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.23+3.19vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+2.82vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+2.88vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.70+2.39vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-0.64vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.71+0.67vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.09-2.04vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.59-4.87vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-2.74vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.49-2.99vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.82-5.09vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.20-7.57vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-6.38vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.84-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.63Harvard University3.200.0%1st Place
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10.26Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.19Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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9.88Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.36Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.67Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.96Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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7.13Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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10.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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11.01George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.43Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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16.15Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Trevor Long | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Conner Harding | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 3.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 3.4% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Munger | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 6.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Shane Riera | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 3.2% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.