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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+6.84vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.09+6.99vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.71+7.64vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.59+2.75vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.84+4.83vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+4.40vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20+1.38vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20+0.31vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.49+2.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+0.67vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.09-2.03vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.70-1.12vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.93-7.53vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.82-4.41vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.20-6.67vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.23-7.65vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.81-6.90vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.84-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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10.64Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.75Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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9.83Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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8.38Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.31Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.38George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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8.97Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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5.47Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.35Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.1Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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16.13Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 3.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Michael Munger | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 4.5% |
| Shane Riera | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 4.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Conner Harding | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 10.1% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.