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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+9.54vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.81+8.24vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.59+4.03vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.58vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.84+4.79vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.71+4.42vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20+1.36vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.09+0.76vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-0.64vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+0.72vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.82-0.92vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.09-2.82vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.23-4.84vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.70-3.83vs Predicted
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15Marquette University0.84+1.26vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.20-7.52vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.49-5.50vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.93-12.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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10.24Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.03Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.79Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.42Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.36Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.36Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.1%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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16.26Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.5George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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5.35Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Munger | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Shane Riera | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Conner Harding | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 2.7% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 10.9% | 64.5% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 7.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.