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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+7.59vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+6.55vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.86vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.59+2.73vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20+3.34vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.93-0.47vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.82+2.98vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+2.34vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.71+1.40vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.09-0.85vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.09-2.05vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.81-1.61vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.49-1.85vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-3.92vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.70-4.55vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.23-7.69vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.84-6.95vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.84-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.59Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.55Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.73Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.53Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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10.4Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.15Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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10.39Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.15George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.31Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.05Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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16.14Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Long | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Shane Riera | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 6.0% |
| Michael Munger | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| Conner Harding | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 65.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.