Race 12A

oyster-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tanner Kelly 14.7% 17.7% 15.2% 15.5% 12.5% 11.5% 7.8% 4.3% 0.8%
Lizzie Cochran 5.7% 6.3% 8.1% 9.6% 10.8% 13.5% 16.6% 21.4% 8.1%
Joshua Bendura 7.5% 9.5% 9.6% 10.2% 13.1% 13.3% 16.4% 15.3% 5.0%
Margaux Cowles 7.0% 8.6% 9.7% 10.2% 13.1% 13.1% 16.7% 16.4% 5.3%
Kyle Reinecke 28.4% 22.6% 18.2% 12.8% 9.2% 5.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Nathan Jensen 18.1% 14.7% 16.4% 15.3% 12.6% 11.3% 6.6% 4.0% 1.1%
Sam Riley 7.5% 9.2% 9.0% 10.6% 11.9% 15.5% 14.6% 16.4% 5.1%
Tyler Brown 9.8% 10.1% 11.6% 13.2% 14.4% 13.2% 13.1% 11.3% 3.5%
Jamie Lynch 1.3% 1.3% 2.1% 2.5% 2.6% 3.5% 5.5% 10.2% 71.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.