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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.09+8.00vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+8.23vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.87vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+5.85vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.59+1.79vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.23+2.28vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+2.89vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.09+0.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+1.43vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.71+0.72vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.93-5.39vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.20-3.26vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-2.73vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.20-5.89vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.49-3.70vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.70-5.47vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.20-8.47vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.84-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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10.23Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.85Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.79Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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8.28Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.89Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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10.72Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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5.61Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.74Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.3George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.53Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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16.13Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Northrup | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Trevor Long | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Conner Harding | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Shane Riera | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 3.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Michael Munger | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 5.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 10.3% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.