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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+7.18vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+6.25vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+4.24vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.92+4.70vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.39+5.90vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.93+2.83vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+1.23vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.60+1.99vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-3.44vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76-0.27vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.26vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-2.78vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.32-1.91vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.50-3.81vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.77-1.70vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.15-8.12vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-9.10vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.67-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.25Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.83Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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8.23Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.99Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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5.56Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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9.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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11.09George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.19Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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13.3University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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7.88Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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16.06Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Max Clapp | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 4.5% |
| Colin Brego | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Brad Seferian | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 5.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 20.6% | 14.1% |
| William Marshall | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Easton | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Bobby Sessions | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 13.8% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.