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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+7.16vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+7.93vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+6.15vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+4.14vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.76+4.38vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.92+2.81vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.39+3.99vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.32+3.14vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50+1.50vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.77+3.48vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.72-5.20vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.15-3.81vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.60-3.07vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-7.25vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-7.30vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.09-7.84vs Predicted
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17Marquette University0.67-0.77vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.93-9.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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8.14Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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8.81Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.99Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.14George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.5Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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13.48University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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5.8Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.19Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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9.93Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.75Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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16.23Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
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8.57Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Read | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Max Clapp | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 4.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 22.2% | 15.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Marshall | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Brad Seferian | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Easton | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Bobby Sessions | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 12.0% | 62.8% |
| Colin Brego | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.