← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.76+8.62vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.12+6.15vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+6.11vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.09+3.99vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.52vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.39+5.00vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.05+1.21vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.72-2.44vs Predicted
-
9Boston University3.35-2.10vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.15-1.91vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.93-2.17vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-3.86vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.92-4.33vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.32-3.07vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College2.49-4.49vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.77-2.56vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University2.60-6.74vs Predicted
-
18Marquette University0.67-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.62University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
-
8.15Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
7.99Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
11.0Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
8.21Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
5.56Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
6.9Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.09Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
-
8.83Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
-
8.67Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
-
10.93George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
-
10.51Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
13.44University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
-
10.26Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
-
16.07Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Read | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Colin Brego | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Easton | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Max Clapp | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Charlotte List | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 22.5% | 14.3% |
| Brad Seferian | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Bobby Sessions | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.