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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+7.06vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+6.23vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+4.19vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+1.63vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.92+3.74vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+2.88vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.39+4.03vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.76+1.36vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.83vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.93-1.03vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-3.11vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-1.08vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.59vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.77-0.97vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.60-4.94vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.32-4.66vs Predicted
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17Marquette University0.67-0.78vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.09-10.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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8.23Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.63Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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11.03Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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8.17Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.97Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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10.92Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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13.03University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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10.06Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.34George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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16.22Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.87Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Marshall | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Clapp | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Brendan Read | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Colin Brego | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Easton | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte List | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 19.9% | 13.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Wade Wagner | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 5.4% |
| Bobby Sessions | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 11.9% | 62.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.