← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.05+7.48vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+5.93vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.12+5.17vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.39+6.82vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.15+2.78vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.93+2.83vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.92+1.77vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.60+2.02vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-0.16vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.72-4.12vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.76-1.38vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.03vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont1.77+0.16vs Predicted
-
14Boston University3.35-7.21vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College2.50-4.50vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University2.32-4.68vs Predicted
-
17Marquette University0.67-0.78vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University3.09-10.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.48Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
-
8.17Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
10.82Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
7.78Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
-
8.83Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.77Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
-
10.02Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
-
8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
5.88Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
9.62University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
-
9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
13.16University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
-
6.79Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
10.5Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
-
11.32George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
-
16.22Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
-
7.89Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Easton | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 3.9% |
| William Marshall | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Colin Brego | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Max Clapp | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Brad Seferian | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 19.2% | 15.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.7% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Wade Wagner | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 5.4% |
| Bobby Sessions | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 13.9% | 60.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.