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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+7.04vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.60+8.37vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+5.15vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+2.96vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+2.72vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.62vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.32+4.28vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.92+0.72vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.93-0.31vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.72-4.12vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-2.82vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-3.42vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-4.31vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.39-3.31vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.77-1.75vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.50-5.41vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.76-7.45vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.67-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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10.37Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.15Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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9.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.28George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.69Boston College2.930.0%1st Place
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5.88Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.58Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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16.03Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Marshall | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Brad Seferian | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Easton | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 4.6% |
| Max Clapp | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Colin Brego | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 20.2% | 14.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Brendan Read | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Bobby Sessions | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.