← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.15+7.03vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.05+6.45vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.60+7.33vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.92+4.68vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.49+5.45vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+2.90vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.76+2.45vs Predicted
-
8Boston University3.35-1.03vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.63vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.72-4.16vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University2.32+0.37vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.12-3.64vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.39-2.17vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-6.49vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.77-1.75vs Predicted
-
16Marquette University0.67+0.19vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University3.09-8.78vs Predicted
-
18Boston College2.93-9.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.03Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
-
8.45Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.33Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
-
8.68Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
-
10.45Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
-
9.45University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.97Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
5.84Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
11.37George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
-
8.36Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
10.83Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
7.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
-
13.25University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
-
16.19Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
-
8.22Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
8.54Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Marshall | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Brad Seferian | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Max Clapp | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Read | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wade Wagner | 4.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 5.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% |
| Kyle Easton | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 14.2% |
| Bobby Sessions | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 60.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Colin Brego | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.