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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+7.73vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+5.95vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.60+6.96vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+2.62vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+2.71vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.32+4.86vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18+0.37vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.93+0.32vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-1.66vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.92-1.30vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-2.91vs Predicted
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12Marquette University0.67+4.13vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.49-2.93vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.77-1.33vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.15-7.56vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.64vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.21-2.27vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.76-9.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.96Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.62Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.86George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.37Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.09Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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16.13Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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7.44Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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14.73Tufts University1.210.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Brad Seferian | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Colin Brego | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Easton | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Max Clapp | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Bobby Sessions | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 9.5% | 17.8% | 52.8% |
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 9.8% |
| William Marshall | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Emily Shanley-Roberts | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 28.5% | 24.3% |
| Brendan Read | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.