← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.32+10.01vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.12+5.84vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.15+4.73vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+4.40vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.05+2.87vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.18+1.40vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.09+0.76vs Predicted
-
8Boston University3.35-1.32vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.93-0.63vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.47vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.60-1.16vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.92-3.20vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College2.50-3.02vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-6.84vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.76-5.97vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.77-2.94vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.21-2.27vs Predicted
-
18Marquette University0.67-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.01George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
-
7.84Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
7.73Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
-
8.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.87Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.4Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
7.76Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
6.68Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.37Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
-
9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
9.84Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
-
8.8Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
-
9.98Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
-
7.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
-
9.03University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
-
13.06University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
-
14.73Tufts University1.210.0%1st Place
-
15.8Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Wagner | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| William Marshall | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.5% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Brad Seferian | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Max Clapp | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Easton | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Read | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 12.2% |
| Emily Shanley-Roberts | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 23.8% | 27.2% |
| Bobby Sessions | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 19.0% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.