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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+8.14vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+6.17vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.32+8.61vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.93+4.74vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.77+8.17vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.92+2.87vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18+0.73vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.14-0.13vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.15-1.19vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-1.91vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.76-1.31vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.92vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-6.03vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-5.95vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.49-4.43vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.09-7.81vs Predicted
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17Marquette University0.67-0.74vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.60-8.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.61George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.74Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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13.17University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.73Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.81Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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8.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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6.97Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.05Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.57Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.19Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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16.26Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
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10.0Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 5.7% |
| Colin Brego | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 22.7% | 14.0% |
| Max Clapp | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jackson McCoy | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| William Marshall | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Easton | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Read | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte List | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Bobby Sessions | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 12.1% | 62.7% |
| Brad Seferian | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.