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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+7.23vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.14+6.10vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.32+8.60vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.93+4.67vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.15+2.82vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+1.10vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18+0.72vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+0.80vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.60+1.20vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.09-1.63vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-0.28vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.94vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-4.86vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.76-4.81vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.77-1.65vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.92-7.08vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-9.07vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.67-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.6George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.67Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.82Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.1Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.72Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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10.2Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.37Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.14Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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13.35University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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8.92Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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16.09Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Wade Wagner | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Colin Brego | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| William Marshall | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Brad Seferian | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte List | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.5% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Read | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 12.0% | 21.3% | 15.1% |
| Max Clapp | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Kyle Easton | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Bobby Sessions | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.