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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.16+1.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.78+1.83vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.73+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania0.81+1.28vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68-1.24vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.71-0.29vs Predicted
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7George Washington University-1.04+1.24vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.86-2.71vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.58-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85U. S. Naval Academy2.1627.8%1st Place
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3.83U. S. Naval Academy1.7814.0%1st Place
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5.27Christopher Newport University0.737.2%1st Place
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5.28University of Pennsylvania0.817.3%1st Place
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3.76St. Mary's College of Maryland1.6817.2%1st Place
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5.71Fordham University0.717.0%1st Place
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8.24George Washington University-1.040.5%1st Place
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5.29Old Dominion University0.868.4%1st Place
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4.78Hampton University0.5810.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Kyle Reinecke | 27.8% | 21.6% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Tanner Kelly | 14.0% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
Joshua Bendura | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 5.3% |
Margaux Cowles | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 5.2% |
Nathan Jensen | 17.2% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
Lizzie Cochran | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 9.8% |
Jamie Lynch | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 12.4% | 70.8% |
Sam Riley | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 4.6% |
Tyler Brown | 10.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.