Race 15A

oyster-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tanner Kelly 15.5% 16.1% 14.5% 16.4% 12.4% 11.1% 8.3% 5.0% 0.8%
Nathan Jensen 16.6% 17.2% 16.4% 14.6% 12.8% 10.3% 7.6% 3.8% 0.8%
Ian Fox 9.1% 9.6% 12.4% 11.8% 13.0% 13.9% 13.4% 12.7% 4.3%
Kyle Reinecke 28.9% 23.2% 18.2% 11.7% 9.4% 5.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Joshua Bendura 7.1% 8.3% 8.9% 11.1% 12.5% 13.5% 17.4% 15.8% 5.3%
Tyler Brown 8.6% 9.8% 11.5% 11.9% 14.4% 14.3% 13.1% 13.7% 2.5%
Lizzie Cochran 5.7% 6.5% 7.3% 8.7% 10.8% 13.1% 16.3% 22.1% 9.7%
Jamie Lynch 1.4% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 3.8% 5.5% 9.7% 71.5%
Sam Riley 7.0% 8.2% 9.2% 11.7% 11.7% 14.8% 15.8% 16.8% 5.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.