Race 1A

82nd-annual-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ty Ingram 13.5% 14.5% 12.8% 11.3% 10.1% 7.3% 6.6% 6.9% 4.6% 3.6% 4.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
Patrick Shanahan 11.2% 11.1% 11.0% 9.7% 8.1% 8.1% 7.8% 9.2% 8.0% 4.3% 4.6% 3.1% 2.6% 1.2%
Matthew Kaplan 11.6% 11.2% 10.0% 10.4% 9.3% 8.8% 7.9% 6.8% 6.4% 6.5% 4.6% 3.2% 2.4% 0.9%
Ravi Parent 6.6% 9.4% 8.2% 8.2% 7.7% 8.2% 9.0% 7.3% 7.0% 7.5% 7.3% 6.7% 4.5% 2.4%
Henry Burnes 4.0% 6.0% 6.3% 5.8% 6.5% 7.2% 7.4% 6.2% 7.5% 7.6% 8.3% 9.6% 9.4% 8.2%
Jackson Hamilton 4.5% 4.1% 3.8% 4.2% 5.0% 4.8% 7.6% 7.4% 6.1% 9.5% 7.5% 11.0% 10.8% 13.7%
Malcolm Lamphere 9.4% 8.6% 9.2% 9.2% 8.3% 7.3% 8.6% 7.7% 6.9% 7.1% 6.2% 4.4% 5.1% 2.0%
Preston Duclos 5.4% 4.4% 5.9% 5.5% 5.7% 6.1% 5.3% 6.9% 7.0% 7.7% 9.0% 8.9% 11.2% 11.0%
Dakota Northrup 7.6% 6.2% 6.7% 5.4% 7.5% 7.7% 9.6% 8.6% 7.6% 8.8% 6.7% 8.6% 5.2% 3.8%
Nicholas Floyd 5.0% 4.7% 5.3% 4.7% 7.9% 6.9% 6.4% 6.4% 7.8% 7.8% 9.0% 10.0% 11.4% 6.7%
Alp Rodopman 7.2% 6.1% 4.9% 8.4% 7.8% 7.3% 7.4% 7.5% 8.4% 7.4% 8.2% 7.9% 6.0% 5.5%
Jack McGraw 5.7% 4.9% 6.2% 7.6% 7.6% 8.2% 7.0% 7.4% 10.1% 6.6% 7.3% 7.1% 6.7% 7.6%
Ian Willoughby 2.7% 2.7% 2.5% 2.7% 2.6% 4.7% 2.6% 4.8% 4.2% 7.4% 7.4% 9.0% 14.7% 32.0%
Peter Lynn 5.6% 6.1% 7.2% 6.9% 5.9% 7.4% 6.8% 6.9% 8.4% 8.2% 9.9% 7.6% 8.6% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.