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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.96+6.58vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.91vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+2.71vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.60+4.98vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.04+2.58vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.84+2.20vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68+1.39vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.25-1.30vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.90-0.98vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.48-3.97vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.80-2.68vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-5.19vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.99-2.35vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.09-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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4.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.2%1st Place
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5.71Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.98Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.39Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.7Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.03Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.65Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGraw | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 15.2% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.5% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 13.3% |
| Alp Rodopman | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 32.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.