Race 3A

82nd-annual-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Henry Burnes 5.3% 4.7% 6.9% 7.5% 6.9% 6.3% 6.8% 7.9% 7.4% 8.0% 8.5% 7.7% 9.5% 6.6%
Alp Rodopman 7.7% 7.9% 7.1% 6.5% 7.1% 6.5% 8.9% 7.0% 8.3% 8.0% 8.5% 5.9% 6.8% 3.8%
Ravi Parent 8.8% 8.6% 7.6% 7.9% 7.2% 8.1% 8.3% 9.1% 6.5% 7.2% 7.5% 5.3% 4.8% 3.1%
Matthew Kaplan 9.5% 12.3% 10.4% 9.6% 8.4% 11.0% 9.0% 6.4% 7.1% 4.6% 5.3% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9%
Patrick Shanahan 9.5% 8.6% 11.5% 9.4% 10.4% 7.0% 7.1% 8.1% 8.2% 6.5% 5.1% 4.7% 2.0% 1.9%
Jack McGraw 6.7% 5.3% 5.7% 7.1% 6.2% 8.3% 7.1% 7.7% 7.2% 8.5% 5.6% 9.4% 9.3% 5.9%
Dakota Northrup 7.9% 7.4% 8.5% 7.3% 8.3% 7.3% 9.0% 6.7% 6.5% 7.9% 6.6% 7.8% 5.0% 3.8%
Preston Duclos 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 4.5% 5.7% 5.5% 5.9% 8.0% 6.0% 7.3% 9.1% 10.1% 10.9% 11.1%
Ian Willoughby 2.8% 2.9% 1.5% 2.3% 3.4% 3.0% 3.4% 3.3% 4.9% 5.4% 8.5% 10.5% 16.1% 32.0%
Malcolm Lamphere 7.6% 7.2% 9.1% 9.0% 8.2% 7.1% 8.8% 7.6% 7.7% 8.1% 6.6% 6.1% 5.0% 1.9%
Nicholas Floyd 5.3% 5.5% 5.1% 3.8% 6.6% 7.7% 6.3% 7.1% 8.5% 7.9% 8.1% 9.3% 9.6% 9.2%
Jackson Hamilton 3.4% 4.7% 4.0% 4.9% 5.5% 6.9% 5.2% 7.0% 7.9% 8.9% 8.6% 9.1% 11.1% 12.8%
Ty Ingram 15.0% 12.2% 10.9% 13.0% 10.5% 8.0% 7.9% 5.2% 7.2% 3.0% 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.5%
Peter Lynn 5.2% 7.4% 6.4% 7.2% 5.6% 7.3% 6.3% 8.9% 6.6% 8.7% 8.7% 8.3% 6.9% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.