Race 4A

82nd-annual-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Preston Duclos 4.5% 4.1% 5.4% 6.6% 7.1% 5.8% 5.8% 6.3% 8.0% 7.5% 9.5% 9.4% 9.7% 10.3%
Malcolm Lamphere 9.1% 9.1% 8.9% 7.6% 7.8% 8.8% 8.2% 8.0% 8.9% 6.7% 5.1% 5.3% 4.0% 2.5%
Alp Rodopman 6.9% 7.7% 7.0% 6.7% 5.6% 6.1% 9.3% 8.3% 6.2% 7.6% 9.1% 8.0% 6.6% 4.9%
Ty Ingram 12.3% 14.3% 11.4% 11.0% 10.6% 9.9% 7.5% 6.1% 4.5% 5.0% 3.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4%
Patrick Shanahan 8.7% 9.2% 11.4% 10.8% 9.8% 7.4% 7.5% 7.5% 7.1% 5.9% 5.6% 4.8% 3.0% 1.3%
Ravi Parent 8.4% 6.5% 9.0% 9.1% 8.3% 7.6% 7.3% 8.3% 6.8% 7.3% 7.4% 5.3% 5.7% 3.0%
Matthew Kaplan 12.7% 12.5% 11.3% 9.5% 10.2% 8.5% 7.1% 6.5% 6.9% 4.6% 5.1% 2.3% 2.2% 0.6%
Jack McGraw 7.0% 6.8% 6.8% 6.1% 6.4% 7.0% 7.0% 7.5% 8.5% 7.0% 7.0% 7.8% 8.6% 6.5%
Jackson Hamilton 5.0% 3.5% 4.2% 4.0% 4.4% 6.3% 5.8% 6.7% 6.7% 9.9% 9.5% 10.5% 12.5% 11.0%
Nicholas Floyd 5.2% 3.9% 4.9% 5.3% 7.9% 5.9% 7.3% 8.7% 7.0% 5.7% 8.6% 11.3% 10.6% 7.7%
Ian Willoughby 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 2.8% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.8% 6.1% 7.5% 9.3% 13.1% 35.0%
Henry Burnes 5.8% 5.1% 4.6% 6.8% 6.4% 7.7% 6.9% 7.2% 8.1% 9.2% 6.9% 8.2% 9.4% 7.7%
Dakota Northrup 7.1% 8.3% 6.3% 7.2% 6.8% 7.7% 9.6% 7.6% 7.3% 8.4% 7.7% 6.6% 6.0% 3.4%
Peter Lynn 5.4% 6.8% 6.3% 6.8% 5.9% 7.2% 6.6% 7.2% 9.2% 9.1% 7.8% 8.7% 7.3% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.