Race 6A

82nd-annual-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Malcolm Lamphere 8.3% 9.4% 8.7% 9.2% 8.4% 8.4% 8.8% 7.9% 7.0% 6.8% 6.0% 5.3% 4.2% 1.6%
Alp Rodopman 8.0% 8.1% 7.5% 7.3% 7.1% 8.2% 6.3% 8.7% 8.4% 8.9% 7.6% 7.2% 4.3% 2.4%
Patrick Shanahan 10.3% 11.5% 10.5% 8.8% 9.8% 8.3% 8.6% 6.2% 8.1% 6.1% 5.3% 3.8% 1.7% 1.0%
Preston Duclos 4.1% 4.9% 5.2% 5.9% 6.2% 5.9% 7.5% 6.9% 6.8% 8.9% 10.0% 8.9% 12.2% 6.6%
Jackson Hamilton 3.8% 4.2% 4.1% 6.7% 5.8% 5.8% 6.0% 6.1% 7.3% 8.4% 8.6% 11.5% 12.3% 9.4%
Ravi Parent 9.2% 6.0% 7.9% 8.9% 9.8% 8.8% 7.2% 6.7% 8.3% 7.8% 6.3% 6.3% 4.4% 2.4%
Jack McGraw 7.3% 7.6% 8.1% 6.4% 7.6% 7.3% 6.5% 8.4% 7.1% 8.7% 7.9% 7.4% 5.9% 3.8%
Ian Willoughby 3.0% 3.2% 2.4% 3.2% 3.7% 3.0% 5.1% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 8.5% 10.5% 14.6% 27.8%
Henry Burnes 6.2% 4.7% 5.8% 5.7% 6.3% 5.8% 7.8% 9.6% 7.9% 8.4% 10.9% 7.7% 8.2% 5.0%
Matthew Kaplan 10.1% 11.3% 12.3% 9.5% 10.0% 10.0% 6.7% 7.3% 7.7% 5.8% 3.4% 3.7% 1.5% 0.7%
Dakota Northrup 7.8% 6.2% 6.7% 8.5% 7.2% 8.6% 7.7% 8.1% 8.3% 8.6% 7.4% 6.9% 4.3% 3.7%
Ty Ingram 13.7% 13.6% 12.8% 11.1% 9.7% 9.2% 8.8% 5.8% 5.0% 3.3% 2.9% 2.5% 1.3% 0.3%
Peter Lynn 6.3% 7.2% 5.4% 6.5% 6.1% 7.0% 8.2% 9.6% 7.6% 6.9% 8.2% 8.5% 8.3% 4.2%
Keen Butcher 1.9% 2.1% 2.6% 2.3% 2.3% 3.7% 4.8% 4.7% 5.5% 5.4% 7.0% 9.8% 16.8% 31.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.