Race 8A

82nd-annual-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Kaplan 12.8% 12.1% 12.3% 9.8% 9.9% 7.7% 8.1% 6.9% 5.9% 4.0% 4.3% 3.4% 2.1% 0.7%
Trevor Long 11.4% 11.0% 9.0% 9.2% 9.9% 7.9% 8.9% 7.9% 7.7% 5.9% 5.0% 2.5% 2.7% 1.0%
Malcolm Lamphere 8.5% 10.0% 8.1% 8.7% 7.7% 9.3% 6.7% 9.0% 7.5% 7.1% 7.4% 4.7% 3.6% 1.7%
Ravi Parent 7.3% 9.4% 9.7% 8.2% 9.0% 8.2% 9.1% 6.3% 7.4% 7.9% 6.1% 6.6% 2.9% 1.9%
Patrick Shanahan 9.3% 10.9% 10.8% 11.8% 8.6% 8.2% 7.1% 7.9% 6.5% 6.3% 5.7% 3.6% 2.4% 0.9%
Henry Burnes 6.0% 5.1% 6.3% 7.2% 5.3% 7.2% 8.3% 6.8% 8.1% 8.5% 7.8% 8.2% 8.8% 6.4%
Jack McGraw 7.9% 7.6% 7.5% 7.1% 8.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.4% 7.9% 8.5% 6.7% 7.8% 5.6% 3.4%
Peter Lynn 7.4% 6.0% 7.5% 6.7% 6.2% 7.1% 7.6% 7.1% 8.0% 8.5% 8.3% 7.4% 6.6% 5.6%
Alp Rodopman 7.6% 6.1% 7.3% 6.9% 7.5% 7.4% 9.8% 8.6% 7.7% 7.4% 9.4% 7.4% 3.8% 3.1%
Preston Duclos 4.6% 4.9% 4.5% 5.7% 6.7% 5.8% 6.8% 7.3% 7.2% 7.8% 10.1% 10.0% 10.6% 8.0%
Jackson Hamilton 4.8% 4.6% 3.6% 5.8% 5.4% 7.7% 5.8% 6.6% 7.7% 7.2% 10.1% 9.8% 11.1% 9.8%
Dakota Northrup 7.1% 7.5% 8.2% 7.8% 8.4% 8.9% 7.1% 9.3% 7.1% 7.5% 5.9% 6.5% 5.5% 3.2%
Ian Willoughby 2.8% 2.7% 2.8% 2.5% 4.4% 3.6% 3.5% 3.4% 5.8% 8.3% 7.7% 11.2% 17.1% 24.2%
Keen Butcher 2.5% 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% 3.8% 4.0% 5.5% 5.5% 5.1% 5.5% 10.9% 17.2% 30.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.