Race 16A

oyster-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nathan Jensen 17.8% 16.6% 16.2% 14.4% 13.5% 10.4% 6.6% 3.8% 0.9%
Ian Fox 9.2% 9.7% 11.7% 11.8% 12.7% 15.1% 14.6% 12.3% 2.8%
Tyler Brown 9.7% 9.6% 10.7% 12.8% 13.0% 13.8% 14.3% 12.0% 4.2%
Tanner Kelly 14.5% 16.1% 15.7% 16.2% 13.1% 11.1% 8.4% 4.2% 0.9%
Joshua Bendura 7.4% 7.1% 10.0% 10.5% 12.1% 14.6% 14.3% 17.6% 6.3%
Lizzie Cochran 5.5% 6.7% 6.0% 8.5% 11.5% 12.8% 16.1% 22.7% 10.2%
Kyle Reinecke 27.3% 24.9% 17.8% 12.2% 8.6% 5.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Sam Riley 8.0% 8.2% 9.8% 10.9% 13.0% 12.8% 16.8% 15.2% 5.3%
Jamie Lynch 0.8% 1.1% 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 4.0% 6.2% 11.2% 69.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.