Race 9A

82nd-annual-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ravi Parent 8.4% 8.8% 11.0% 8.0% 9.4% 8.9% 7.1% 7.0% 7.6% 5.9% 6.1% 5.4% 4.0% 2.4%
Malcolm Lamphere 10.3% 10.2% 7.5% 9.6% 7.9% 8.8% 8.1% 7.9% 9.0% 6.5% 6.2% 3.7% 3.0% 1.3%
Trevor Long 10.1% 10.5% 9.6% 9.8% 7.9% 8.9% 7.7% 7.5% 7.9% 6.8% 5.1% 4.1% 3.0% 1.1%
Jack McGraw 5.8% 7.0% 7.2% 6.9% 6.8% 9.2% 6.9% 8.6% 6.5% 8.7% 7.7% 9.1% 5.9% 3.7%
Patrick Shanahan 8.7% 12.1% 10.3% 11.3% 9.5% 7.3% 7.5% 8.3% 6.9% 6.7% 4.7% 3.4% 2.1% 1.2%
Matthew Kaplan 11.9% 11.1% 12.1% 10.0% 8.8% 8.0% 9.4% 6.8% 5.6% 5.6% 4.3% 3.5% 2.6% 0.3%
Henry Burnes 6.6% 7.4% 6.9% 6.8% 7.7% 6.3% 7.1% 7.3% 7.4% 8.2% 8.0% 8.5% 6.8% 5.0%
Peter Lynn 7.3% 6.6% 7.1% 5.9% 7.4% 7.4% 7.1% 7.2% 7.7% 8.3% 7.6% 7.7% 7.2% 5.5%
Alp Rodopman 7.7% 6.0% 7.3% 7.0% 7.0% 8.6% 9.7% 7.2% 8.9% 6.9% 8.8% 6.8% 5.2% 2.9%
Jackson Hamilton 4.8% 3.8% 4.4% 5.1% 6.6% 6.2% 5.7% 6.0% 8.2% 8.0% 9.5% 10.7% 10.1% 10.9%
Dakota Northrup 8.4% 7.3% 5.3% 9.2% 8.3% 8.0% 7.9% 8.0% 7.4% 7.9% 7.3% 5.9% 5.5% 3.6%
Keen Butcher 2.4% 1.6% 2.4% 2.6% 3.3% 2.4% 3.7% 4.4% 4.3% 6.9% 9.3% 9.7% 16.6% 30.4%
Preston Duclos 5.1% 5.7% 5.5% 5.1% 5.8% 5.7% 7.4% 7.8% 8.7% 8.3% 8.0% 9.9% 9.4% 7.6%
Ian Willoughby 2.5% 1.9% 3.4% 2.7% 3.6% 4.3% 4.7% 6.0% 3.9% 5.3% 7.4% 11.6% 18.6% 24.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.