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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.47+7.70vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.92+5.02vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.63+8.12vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+3.35vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.92+2.42vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+1.36vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.12-0.62vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.38-2.21vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.12-2.24vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97-2.81vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.31-1.59vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-5.71vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.09-6.35vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.79-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Boston College2.470.0%1st Place
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7.02Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.12Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.38Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.79Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.41Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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6.29Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% |
| William Hawk | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 15.5% | 40.8% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Max Clapp | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 15.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.