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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.31+8.22vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.92+5.08vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.12+3.65vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+3.20vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.92+2.43vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+1.34vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-0.04vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.47+0.78vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.63+2.35vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.38-4.25vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.24-4.70vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.12-5.29vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.09-6.34vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.79-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.22Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.2Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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8.78Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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11.35Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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5.75Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.3Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.71Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Riggs | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 13.8% |
| Max Clapp | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| William Hawk | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 42.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.