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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.79+6.56vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+3.55vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.31+6.34vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.12+2.72vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.24+1.37vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+1.36vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.92+0.02vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.12-1.39vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-1.81vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.92-2.57vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-4.21vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93-4.76vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.47-4.33vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.63-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.55Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.34Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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6.37Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.02Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.67Boston College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.15Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Alexander | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.5% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 14.8% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| William Hawk | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Max Clapp | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.